Thursday, October 15, 2009

ESPN picks ISU to beat Baylor

Iowa State 27, Baylor 24: The winner of this game should see its bowl hopes push ahead. The Cyclones have come close in their last two games, dropping a one-point loss to Kansas State on a blocked extra point and a tight six-point defeat last week to Kansas when a potential game-winning pass slid through the hands of Darius Darks late in the game. This time, the Cyclones will take advantage of their home field against Baylor, which will decide between Nick Florence and Blake Szymanski at quarterback. Something’s got to give as the Cyclones have an 11-game Big 12 losing streak and the Bears have lost 12 straight road games. I think the Cyclones are due to win a game on their home field after their near-misses the last two weeks.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

CFN picks ISU to win big +12

Original story can be found here

Kansas State (2-2) vs. Iowa State (3-1), (in Kansas City), 3:00 EST, Saturday, October 3

Why to watch: For two of the Big 12’s lesser teams, this is a must win. There aren’t going to be a lot of chances to pull off a victory, with each team likely to be the underdog in every game the rest of the way, but a win will keep bowl hopes alive while the loser can all but forget about a 13th game. Iowa State, at 3-1 after a dismantling of Army, has a better chance at a bowl with home games against Baylor and Colorado still to be played, while Kansas State would have to win this week and pull off a slew of big upsets to go bowling. However, the Wildcats get four home games in a five week stretch, including a date with Colorado. Each program is trying to build, and each is looking at this game as a chance to avoid the North basement.
Why Kansas State might win: The Wildcat defense has been solid. There’s no pass rush and the front four isn’t getting to the ball carrier behind the line, but the defense has yet to allow more than 186 passing yards or 173 on the ground (both coming from UCLA). In a game between two offensively challenged teams, field position will be a key. One of Iowa State’s biggest strengths is its punting game, but Kansas State has a strong return man in Tysyn Hartman, and a superstar in Brandon Banks, who returns punts along with his kickoff return duties, to negate the Cyclone advantage.
Why Iowa State might win: QB Austen Arnaud will have all day to throw. Mobile enough to avoid the pass rush, he has also been helped by a line that has allowed just two sacks so far. Kansas State has only come up with four sacks and isn’t likely to throw Arnaud off his game. On the other side, the aggressive Iowa State defensive front will pressure KSU QB Carson Coffman for most of the game. This isn’t a Wildcat attack that can produce when harassed.
Who to watch: While Arnaud has been the star of the Cyclone offense, junior Alexander Robinson has been the steadying force. He has rushed for over 100 yards in each of the last three games and has been a decent receiver when used with two catches for 49 yards and a score against Army. While he has an issue with a groin problem, he’s expected to play and not be limited. For Kansas State, Banks is the weapon who needs to be used even more in the passing game. The senior returned two kickoff returns for scores last week against Tennessee Tech, and he has caught 19 passes for 223 yards so far. With his speed, quickness, and experience, he has to be a difference maker in some way for the Wildcats to pull off the road upset.
What will happen: Iowa State’s defensive line will control the game from the start. Arnaud and Robinson will be the two best players on the field to get the Cyclones ahead and keep them there.
CFN Prediction: Iowa State 26 … Kansas State 14 ... Line: Iowa State -3
Must See Rating: (Kourtney & Khloe Take Miami 5 … The Jay Leno Show 1) … 2